An optimist stays up until midnight to see the new year in. A pessimist stays up to make sure the old year leaves. ~Bill Vaughan
Only 5 years ago, it was pointed out that one single US tech company, the behemoth internet stock Google - which was valued by the market at more than US$130bn - was incredibly worth more than ALL the companies listed on the Indonesian stock market with total capitalization of around US$80bn.
Quite incredible I’m sure you’ll agree.
One single company that operates in the virtual world (what exactly are its assets?) is worth more than all the listed banks, coal mining companies, CPO producers, retailers, property developers, telecommunications firms and others listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange.
So what exactly does it tell us?
Well, that Google’s search engine is great and that Yahoo’s is crap. And not forgetting of course that Google is the preeminent internet company with a virtual empire covering almost the entire globe.
But it also tells us that there is huge potential just waiting to be unleashed in Indonesia – because there is no way all the listed Indonesian companies should be worth less than Google – and that if only Indonesia could get its act together, then Indonesian share prices would surely take off.
And this is exactly what has happened.
As a result, Indonesian listed companies were worth US$210 billion at the beginning of last year, or higher than Google’s valuation of US$189 billion.
And by the end of 2010, the Indonesian market’s value had soared to an astonishing US$346 billion, or far above Google’s US$192 billion!!!
Jakarta stocks had a great year in 2010
NB: the valuations of tech stocks is utterly insane. The estimated value of Facebook for example is put around US$42 billion – up threefold in just 12 months! And as for Twitter? That’s worth an estimated US$3.7 billion! Twitter are said to be making considerable revenues (how I wonder?), but are still loss making, having high overheads with over 300 employees. How does that West Ham song go? I'm Forever Blowing Bubbles / Pretty bubbles in the air / They fly so high, / Nearly reach the sky / Then like my dreams…